State Post Bureau: It is estimated that the express delivery business volume will increase by about 22% year-on-year in October.
CCTV News:On October 1st, the State Post Bureau released the report of China Express Development Index in September 2021. According to the calculation, in September 2021, the China Express Development Index was 360.7, up 9.2% year-on-year. Among them, the development scale index was 368.2, a year-on-year increase of 25.8%. The service quality index and development ability index were 607 and 200.6, respectively, up by 3.8% and 6.6% year-on-year. The development trend index was 79.8, up 5.3% from the previous month. The development of the industry has risen steadily and continued to improve.
In September, the scale index of express delivery development was 368.2. From the sub-indicators, the express delivery business volume is expected to grow by about 21% year-on-year, and the monthly scale is approaching the 10 billion mark. The express delivery business income is expected to grow by about 11% year-on-year. In the first three quarters, it is estimated that the growth rate of express delivery business volume and business income will be around 37% and 22% respectively, and the business income is close to the level of 2019. The industry maintained steady operation and its main economic indicators performed well. First, the growth rate of the industry is stable in the middle and high range. Since the beginning of this year, except for the high growth rate in the first quarter due to the low base during last year’s epidemic, the growth rate of the industry has been fluctuating slightly in the middle and high range of 20%-30% in the second and third quarters, and the growth rate difference is smaller than the same period last year. The development of each month is relatively balanced, and the difference in express delivery business volume is basically maintained within 1.5 billion pieces. Second, the industry structure continued to be optimized. From the perspective of business structure, the proportion of off-site business has increased. In the first three quarters, the growth rate of business volume in different places is expected to be close to 42%, and the role of the industry in promoting the domestic cycle is further revealed. From the perspective of regional structure, the central region has a good development momentum. In the first three quarters, the growth rate of express delivery business in the central region will be around 50%, which is much higher than the industry average. Among them, Jiangxi, Hubei and other provinces are expected to increase by more than 60%. From the perspective of urban and rural structure, with the vigorous promotion of "express delivery into the village", the volume of express delivery in rural areas has further increased, and the growth rate is expected to exceed 30%, and the balanced development of urban and rural areas has taken a more solid step. Third, online consumption is still the main force driving industry growth. In the first three quarters,E-commerce, live broadcast and other online economies are booming. Driven by all kinds of intensive promotion, consumer enthusiasm continues to rise, and the growth rate of online retail sales is nearly 20%, which has obviously boosted the growth of express delivery business. In the first three quarters, the volume of express delivery business will increase by more than 20 billion pieces, much higher than that in the same period last year.
In September, the express service quality index was 607. From the sub-indicators, the effective appeal rate of express delivery is expected to be about 0.2 per million; Consumer express service satisfaction is expected to be about 79.9 points, up 1.2 points year-on-year; The 72-hour punctuality rate is expected to be about 78.3%, up 2.4 percentage points year-on-year. In the first three quarters, the satisfaction of consumer express service is expected to be about 79.2 points, up 0.8 points year-on-year; The 72-hour punctuality rate is expected to be about 75.6%, up 1.1 percentage points year-on-year. In the first three quarters, the service quality improved steadily, mainly in the following aspects: First, the multi-service system was continuously improved. In terms of terminal delivery, in order to facilitate users, express delivery companies further encrypt the network of service stations, continue to advance into communities and schools, and constantly provide diversified choices through door-to-door delivery and free storage at service stations. In terms of sending large pieces, express delivery companies focus on solving the problems of slow delivery of large pieces and difficulty in going upstairs through cold delivery and quick delivery of large tickets. In terms of home appliance decoration, express delivery companies actively build "super cloud warehouses", and form a deep collaborative network layout with regional city warehouses, store warehouses and pre-warehouses, providing users with delivery services such as speed delivery, delivery integration and appointment delivery. At the same time, postal express companies also entered the military camp, providing veterans with "one-stop" services such as on-site inspection and packaging, packaging and weighing, and loading on the bus, and warming the way for veterans to return home with peace of mind and caring services. The second is to further deepen the service of modern agriculture. In the first three quarters,The rural express network has accelerated to sink, and some areas have achieved comprehensive coverage of services into the village, and the delivery channels for agricultural products have become increasingly perfect. Postal express delivery enterprises expand from agricultural products delivery to supply chain service system by developing "delivery+agricultural products" business, helping to develop "live broadcast+express delivery" and establishing cooperative warehouses of origin, supporting the export of special agricultural products such as hairy crabs, mangoes, prunes, beef and mutton, and providing farmers, merchants and consumers with higher quality, higher timeliness and more cost-effective agricultural products delivery services.
In September, the express development capability index was 200.6. From the sub-indicators, it is estimated that the online retail sales of physical goods supported by express delivery services will be around 900 billion yuan, an increase of about 110 billion yuan year-on-year. The proportion of business income to GDP is 9‰ About. In the first three quarters, it is estimated that the retail sales of express support network will be around 7.5 trillion yuan, accounting for about 24% of the total retail sales of social consumer goods. In the first three quarters, the enhancement of express delivery service capacity mainly benefited from the following aspects: First, technological innovation accelerated empowerment. Express delivery companies continue to deepen scientific and technological research and development, and promote the double upgrade of industrial efficiency and industrial efficiency. Express companies independently develop three-dimensional mobile robots, which organically integrate the functions of vertical storage and flexible handling, and have the characteristics of high flexibility, high flexibility and high reliability. The 5G fully connected intelligent warehouse developed by express delivery companies can realize the management and operation of unmanned chemical plants in the whole process of goods warehousing, storage, picking, handling and sorting, and won the first prize in the World 5G Congress -5G Application Design Exposition Competition. Second, the sea passage continued to expand. In order to meet the needs of overseas markets, especially cross-border e-commerce in Southeast Asia, for the timeliness and diversity of delivery logistics, express delivery companies continue to increase cross-border network construction and enhance the investment and integration of resources in overseas warehousing, customs clearance, logistics and distribution. Express companies rely on air, rail, highway and other modes of transportation to open "Tuding Express" railway transportation and "Dalian-Osaka".A number of cross-border passages, such as air transport and Sino-Vietnamese road transport, better serve cross-border delivery services in Europe, Northeast Asia and Southeast Asia. The third is the intensive construction of infrastructure. Express delivery enterprises have stepped up infrastructure construction and made great efforts to build a smart express hub network. Many distribution centers, industrial parks and supply chain centers in Guangzhou, Jiaozhou, Zigong, Huzhou, Wugong and Shangrao have been planned, put into production and operated, and the inter-provincial trunk line transshipment capacity and integrated supply chain service capacity have been further enhanced.
In September, the development trend index was 79.8, up 5.3% from the previous month. It is estimated that the volume of express delivery business will increase by about 22% in October. According to the expectation of the capital market, a number of express delivery companies have been selected into the top 500 Asian brands, China enterprises and China private enterprises, and their brand values have been further enhanced. At the same time, under the dual effects of policy dividends and fee adjustment, the market expectation continues to rise. In the fourth quarter, the express delivery industry will enter the peak season, and the monthly scale is expected to exceed 10 billion pieces, and the rapid development of the industry will continue.